HNL · Regular Season - 9
NK OsijekvsIstra 1961
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- HNL
- Venue
- Opus Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
NK Osijek vs Istra 1961: match review and analysis
NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 in HNL on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
NK Osijek recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 15. Istra 1961 recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 21 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | NK Osijek | Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
NK Osijek: (1.82 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Istra 1961: (2.11 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
NK Osijek recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bsk Bijelo BrdoFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NK VarazdinHNL | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dinamo ZagrebHNL | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Segesta SisakCup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| HNK RijekaHNL | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| NK Slaven BelupoHNL | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitHNL | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| RudesHNL | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| HNK GoricaHNL | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from NK Osijek’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Istra 1961 recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK GoricaHNL | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RudesHNL | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| ZagorecCup | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| NK VarazdinHNL | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dinamo ZagrebHNL | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HNK RijekaHNL | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| NK Slaven BelupoHNL | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitHNL | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| LecceFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Istra 1961’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
HNL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
NK Osijek are ranked 3 in HNL, with 16 points from 8 games.
Istra 1961 are ranked 6 in HNL, with 9 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | HNK Hajduk Split | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | NK Varazdin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | Rudes | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.