Super League · Regular Season - 1
Nkwazi1–2Roan United
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Nkwazi vs Roan United: match review and analysis
Nkwazi vs Roan United in Super League on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Nkwazi recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Roan United recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 8 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nkwazi | Roan United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nkwazi: (0.73 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Roan United: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 0.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nkwazi recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 2 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prison LeopardsSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Man Utd Zambia AcademySuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kansanshi DynamosSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ZESCO UnitedSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nchanga RangersSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Power DynamosSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NAPSA StarsSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MinesSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Konkola BladesSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Red ArrowsSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Nkwazi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Roan United recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konkola BladesSuper League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Konkola Mine PoliceSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Green EaglesSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| IndeniSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| National AssemblySuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kabwe WarriorsSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Red ArrowsSuper League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| NkanaSuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nakambala LeopardsSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Power DynamosSuper League | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Roan United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Roan United are ranked 5 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Nkwazi are ranked 7 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zanaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ZESCO United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Nchanga Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Green Buffaloes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nkana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kabwe Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Power Dynamos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Red Arrows | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Konkola Blades | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Roan United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | NAPSA Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Green Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nkwazi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Mufulira Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Trident | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Mutondo Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Makeni All Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Chirundu Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.