Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Group 18 - 5
Noblejas1–2Illescas
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Noblejas vs Illescas: match review and analysis
Noblejas vs Illescas in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Noblejas recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Illescas recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses, with 8 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Noblejas | Illescas |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Noblejas: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 0.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Illescas: (0.97 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Noblejas recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VillarrobledoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ToledoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| San ClementeTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AlmansaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| MarchamaloTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CazalegasTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Quintanar del ReyTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ManchegoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| VillarrobledoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SocuéllamosTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Noblejas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Illescas recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VillarrubiaTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Quintanar del ReyTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SocuéllamosTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TarancónTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Pozuelo AlarcónFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SS Reyes IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CF TalaveraFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ManchegoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VillarrobledoTercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Albacete IITercera División RFEF - Group 18 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Illescas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Illescas are ranked 3 in Tercera: Group 18, with 11 points from 5 games.
Noblejas are ranked 11 in Tercera: Group 18, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Tarancón | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Almansa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Villacañas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Socuéllamos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | La Solana | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Guadalajara II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracán Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.