Thai League 2 · Regular Season - 6
Nong Bua PitchayavsChiangmai United
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Thai League 2
- Venue
- Pitchaya Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United: match review and analysis
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United in Thai League 2 on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Nong Bua Pitchaya recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 16. Chiangmai United recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 16 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Chiangmai United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nong Bua Pitchaya: (2.03 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chiangmai United: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nong Bua Pitchaya recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChanthaburiThai League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SatunThai League 2 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| UttaraditThai League 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Muangthong UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kasetsart FCThai League 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PattaniThai League 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PattaniThai League 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Police TeroThai League 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Police TeroThai League 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rasi Salai UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Nong Bua Pitchaya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chiangmai United recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasetsart FCThai League 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Muangthong UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Khon Kaen UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Esan PattayaThai League 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kasetsart FCThai League 2 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Rasi Salai UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Khon Kaen UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Trat FCThai League 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chiangmai United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Thai League 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Chiangmai United are ranked 5 in Thai Division 1, with 9 points from 5 games.
Nong Bua Pitchaya are ranked 9 in Thai Division 1, with 8 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uttaradit | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Chainat | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Phrae United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Satun | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Chiangmai United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Khon Kaen United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Kanchanaburi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Muang Loei United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Nakhon Pathom | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Police Tero | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Muangthong United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Songkhla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Esan Pattaya | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham United | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.