UEFA Nations League · League B - 4
Northern Ireland0–0Georgia
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League
- Venue
- Windsor Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 84′Isaac PriceMissed PenaltyNorthern Ireland
Cards
- 18′Giorgi KochorashviliYellow CardGeorgiaFoul
- 83′Nodar LominadzeYellow CardGeorgiaFoul
- 86′Irakli YegoianYellow CardGeorgiaArgument
- 89′Giorgi TsitaishviliYellow CardGeorgiaFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Georgia
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Zurab Khizanishvili
Starting XI
- 1G. MamardashviliG
- 2O. KakabadzeD
- 20S. SazonovD
- 3L. DvaliD
- 4L. LochoshviliD
- 6G. KochorashviliM
- 14A. MekvabishviliM
- 15G. MamageishviliM
- 9Z. DavitashviliM
- 7K. KvaratskheliaM
- 11B. ZivzivadzeF
Substitutes
Northern Ireland
Starting XI
- 1P. CharlesG
- 4T. AtchesonD
- 15R. McConvilleD
- 22C. BrownD
- 5T. HumeM
- 19S. CharlesM
- 7E. GalbraithM
- 3J. DevennyM
- 16P. KellyF
- 14I. PriceF
- 10J. DonleyF
Substitutes
- 12C. HazardG
- 23B. Peacock-FarrellG
- 17P. McNairD
- 18E. ToalD
- 20B. SpencerD
- 6J. ThompsonM
- 2T. DevlinM
- 13K. MorrisonM
- 21J. MagennisF
- 8C. MarshallF
- 11P. SmythF
- 9C. O'NeillF
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Northern Ireland vs Georgia: match review and analysis
Northern Ireland vs Georgia in UEFA Nations League on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Northern Ireland recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Georgia recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Northern Ireland | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Northern Ireland: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Georgia: (0.81 weighted goals scored + 0.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Northern Ireland recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UkraineUEFA Nations League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| HungaryUEFA Nations League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GeorgiaUEFA Nations League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FranceFriendlies | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| GuineaFriendlies | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| WalesFriendlies | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ItalyWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LuxembourgWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SlovakiaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GermanyWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Northern Ireland’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Georgia recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HungaryUEFA Nations League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UkraineUEFA Nations League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Northern IrelandUEFA Nations League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BahrainFriendlies | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| RomaniaFriendlies | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LithuaniaFriendlies | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| IsraelFriendlies | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BulgariaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SpainWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| TürkiyeWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Georgia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA Nations League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | FYR Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
Northern Ireland are ranked 1 in League B - Group B, with 8 points from 4 games.
Georgia are ranked 4 in League B - Group B, with 2 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 3 | Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | -14 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.