Championship · Regular Season - 10
FULL-TIME
Norwich0–1Southampton
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Championship
- Venue
- Carrow Road
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Norwich vs Southampton: match review and analysis
Norwich vs Southampton in Championship on 14 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Norwich recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 23. Southampton recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 21 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Norwich | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 23 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Norwich: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 1.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Southampton: (1.88 weighted goals scored + 2.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Norwich recent form
1.80 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SwanseaChampionship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BoltonChampionship | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Manchester CityLeague Cup | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| MiddlesbroughChampionship | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| BirminghamChampionship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sheffield UtdChampionship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Stoke CityChampionship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BurnleyChampionship | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| CardiffLeague Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MillwallChampionship | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Norwich’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Southampton recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PortsmouthChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| WrexhamChampionship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bristol CityChampionship | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| SwanseaChampionship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| LincolnChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BirminghamChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MillwallChampionship | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| West HamLeague Cup | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Stoke CityChampionship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| WatfordChampionship | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Southampton’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Southampton are ranked 13 in Championship, with 13 points from 9 games.
Norwich are ranked 19 in Championship, with 9 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.