Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 32
Nueva Chicago0–1Deportivo Maipu
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Nacional
- Venue
- Estadio Nueva Chicago
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 79′J. GobettoNormal GoalDeportivo Maipu
Cards
- 30′A. GonzalezYellow CardNueva Chicago
- 42′M. PerezYellow CardNueva Chicago
- 50′A. R. Aguero GimenezYellow CardDeportivo Maipu
- 61′E. RoldanYellow CardNueva Chicago
- 73′T. RodriguezYellow CardNueva Chicago
- 80′F. SacconeYellow CardDeportivo Maipu
Events updated
Lineups
Nueva Chicago
Coach: Luis Garcia
Starting XI
- 1F. Masuero
- 4B. Palazzo
- 2D. Gissi
- 6G. Paz
- 3D. Arroyo
- 8T. Rodriguez
- 5E. Mendez
- 10L. Ambrogio
- 11A. Gonzalez
- 7T. Ocampo
- 9G. Vega
Substitutes
Deportivo Maipu
Coach: Alexis Matteo
Starting XI
- 1N. Galardi
- 4L. Faggioli
- 2S. Paulini
- 6A. R. Aguero Gimenez
- 3N. Fernandez
- 8E. Perez
- 5J. Gobetto
- 10T. Silva
- 11M. Bonfigli
- 7F. Saccone
- 9M. Viguet
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu: match review and analysis
Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu in Primera Nacional on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Nueva Chicago recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Deportivo Maipu recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nueva Chicago | Deportivo Maipu |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nueva Chicago: (0.59 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deportivo Maipu: (1.04 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nueva Chicago recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AlmagroPrimera Nacional | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PatronatoPrimera Nacional | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ColegialesPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QuilmesPrimera Nacional | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MidlandPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| San Martin S.J.Primera Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AtlantaPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| All BoysPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gimnasia Y TiroPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| San Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Nueva Chicago’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Maipu recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TemperleyPrimera Nacional | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AlmagroPrimera Nacional | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PatronatoPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ColegialesPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QuilmesPrimera Nacional | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Godoy CruzPrimera Nacional | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MidlandPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AtlantaPrimera Nacional | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Gimnasia Y TiroPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Deportivo Maipu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Nacional — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores De Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 29 |
Deportivo Maipu are ranked 7 in Group 2, with 47 points from 32 games.
Nueva Chicago are ranked 15 in Group 2, with 36 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin Tucuman | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Almagro | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 54 | -31 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.