Persha Liga · Regular Season - 11
Nyva TernopilvsKolos Kovalivka II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Persha Liga
- Venue
- Ternopilsky Misky Stadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II: match review and analysis
Nyva Ternopil vs Kolos Kovalivka II in Persha Liga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Nyva Ternopil recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Kolos Kovalivka II recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nyva Ternopil | Kolos Kovalivka II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nyva Ternopil: (0.72 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kolos Kovalivka II: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nyva Ternopil recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| PrykarpattiaPersha Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ChernihivPersha Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Metal KharkivPersha Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BukovynaCup | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| InhuletsPersha Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| UCSAPersha Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SK PoltavaPersha Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Nyva Ternopil’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kolos Kovalivka II recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OleksandriaPersha Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Polissya IIPersha Liga | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Probiy HorodenkaPersha Liga | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| KulykivPersha Liga | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Lokomotiv KyivPersha Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SK PoltavaPersha Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PrykarpattiaPersha Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Kolos Kovalivka II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Persha Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kolos Kovalivka II are ranked 11 in Persha Liga, with 12 points from 10 games.
Nyva Ternopil are ranked 12 in Persha Liga, with 11 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Oleksandria | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | SK Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulykiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Yarud Mariupol' | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Metal Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Polissya II | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.