Persha Liga · Regular Season - 11
OleksandriavsLokomotiv Kyiv
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Persha Liga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv: match review and analysis
Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv in Persha Liga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Oleksandria recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 3. Lokomotiv Kyiv recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Oleksandria | Lokomotiv Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 3 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Oleksandria: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lokomotiv Kyiv: (1.33 weighted goals scored + 0.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Oleksandria recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka IIPersha Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Probiy HorodenkaCup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PrykarpattiaPersha Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ChernihivPersha Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bratslav VinnytsiaCup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Metal KharkivPersha Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| InhuletsPersha Liga | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Oleksandria’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lokomotiv Kyiv recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polissya IIPersha Liga | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Probiy HorodenkaPersha Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| KulykivPersha Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SK PoltavaPersha Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kolos Kovalivka IIPersha Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Probiy HorodenkaCup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PrykarpattiaPersha Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Lokomotiv Kyiv’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Persha Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Oleksandria are ranked 2 in Persha Liga, with 19 points from 10 games.
Lokomotiv Kyiv are ranked 10 in Persha Liga, with 13 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Oleksandria | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | SK Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulykiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Yarud Mariupol' | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Metal Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Polissya II | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.