Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Group C - 5
Oliveira HospitalvsFC Alverca II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Oliveira Hospital vs FC Alverca II: match review and analysis
Oliveira Hospital vs FC Alverca II in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Oliveira Hospital recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 8. FC Alverca II recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 20 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Oliveira Hospital | FC Alverca II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Oliveira Hospital: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 0.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Alverca II: (1.82 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Oliveira Hospital recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude ÉvoraTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FátimaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Naval 1893Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SourenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Os MarialvasCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Benfica Castelo BrancoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Atlético MalveiraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LouletanoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vitória de SernacheCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atlético MalveiraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Oliveira Hospital’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Alverca II recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FazendenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Naval 1893Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Benfica Castelo BrancoCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UD da SerraCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Comércio IndústriaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| FC SerpaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AlcochetenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Portimonense BCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Oriental LisboaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| LagoaCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Alverca II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Oliveira Hospital are ranked 3 in II Divisao: Group C, with 9 points from 4 games.
FC Alverca II are ranked 11 in II Divisao: Group C, with 3 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mortágua | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | O Elvas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveira Hospital | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Os Marialvas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | UD da Serra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Naval 1893 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | AD Nogueirense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Fátima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlético Malveira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | Fazendense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 |
| 14 | Nazarenos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.