Super League 1 · Regular Season - 6
Olympiakos PiraeusvsPanathinaikos
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League 1
- Venue
- Karaiskakis Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos: match review and analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos in Super League 1 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Olympiakos Piraeus recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 6. Panathinaikos recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 19 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Olympiakos Piraeus | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Olympiakos Piraeus: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 0.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Panathinaikos: (1.85 weighted goals scored + 0.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Olympiakos Piraeus recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LevadiakosSuper League 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| JagielloniaUEFA Europa League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| OFISuper League 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Volos NFCCup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Volos NFCSuper League 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LarisaCup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Asteras TripolisSuper League 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AtromitosSuper League 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NEC NijmegenUEFA Champions League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NEC NijmegenUEFA Champions League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Olympiakos Piraeus’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Panathinaikos recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalamataSuper League 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| KifisiaCup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PanetolikosSuper League 1 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| KifisiaSuper League 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| PAOKSuper League 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Niki VolosCup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| LevadiakosSuper League 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Hradec KrálovéUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hradec KrálovéUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CSKA 1948UEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Panathinaikos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Panathinaikos are ranked 1 in Super League, with 15 points from 5 games.
Olympiakos Piraeus are ranked 5 in Super League, with 10 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 11 |
| 4 | OFI | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Panetolikos | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Aris Thessalonikis | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 | Iraklis 1908 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Atromitos | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 13 | Volos NFC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.