J2 League · Regular Season - 10
Omiya Ardija3–1Vanraure Hachinohe
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J2 League
- Venue
- NACK5 Stadium Omiya
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe: match review and analysis
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe in J2 League on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Omiya Ardija recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Vanraure Hachinohe recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 3 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Omiya Ardija | Vanraure Hachinohe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 3 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Omiya Ardija: (1.88 weighted goals scored + 1.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vanraure Hachinohe: (0.42 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Omiya Ardija recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UrawaEmperor Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ventforet KofuJ2 League | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Oita TrinitaJ2 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gainare TottoriJ-League Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Shonan BellmareJ2 League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Vanraure HachinoheEmperor Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Consadole SapporoJ2 League | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Omiya Ardija’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vanraure Hachinohe recent form
0.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama FCJ2 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Jubilo IwataJ2 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Shonan BellmareJ2 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tochigi CityJ-League Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Omiya ArdijaEmperor Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vegalta SendaiJ2 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tochigi CityJ2 League | Away | 0–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Vanraure Hachinohe’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J2 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Omiya Ardija are ranked 4 in J2 League, with 17 points from 9 games.
Vanraure Hachinohe are ranked 15 in J2 League, with 10 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz Akita | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima Vortis | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Jubilo Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.