USL League One · Group Stage
One Knoxville3–0Chattanooga Red Wolves
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL League One
- Venue
- Regal Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–0
- 90-minute score
- 3–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: match review and analysis
One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves in USL League One on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
One Knoxville recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Chattanooga Red Wolves recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | One Knoxville | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
One Knoxville: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chattanooga Red Wolves: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
One Knoxville recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond KickersUSL League One | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| NaplesUSL League One | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AltaUSL League One | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Greenville TriumphUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from One Knoxville’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chattanooga Red Wolves recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Spokane VelocityUSL League One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NaplesUSL League One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Richmond KickersUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Greenville TriumphUSL League One | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| NY CosmosUSL League One | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Chattanooga Red Wolves’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
One Knoxville are ranked 4 in USL League One, with 51 points from 30 games.
Chattanooga Red Wolves are ranked 7 in USL League One, with 46 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Alta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.