USL League One · Group Stage
One KnoxvillevsSpokane Velocity
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL League One
- Venue
- Regal Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity: match review and analysis
One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity in USL League One on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
One Knoxville recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Spokane Velocity recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | One Knoxville | Spokane Velocity |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
One Knoxville: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Spokane Velocity: (1.63 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
One Knoxville recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Richmond KickersUSL League One | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| NaplesUSL League One | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AltaUSL League One | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from One Knoxville’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Spokane Velocity recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Greenville TriumphUSL League One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Colorado SpringsUSL League One Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Spokane Velocity’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
One Knoxville are ranked 4 in USL League One, with 51 points from 30 games.
Spokane Velocity are ranked 6 in USL League One, with 47 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Alta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.