Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 2
Orense SCvsDeportivo Cuenca
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Pro
- Venue
- Estadio 9 de Mayo
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca: match review and analysis
Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca in Liga Pro on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Orense SC recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Deportivo Cuenca recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 7 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Orense SC | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Orense SC: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deportivo Cuenca: (0.68 weighted goals scored + 2.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Orense SC recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FCLiga Pro | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Universidad CatolicaLiga Pro | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Guayaquil City FCLiga Pro | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Leones del NorteLiga Pro | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MacaraLiga Pro | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Barcelona SCLiga Pro | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Delfin SCLiga Pro | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LibertadLiga Pro | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Independiente del ValleLiga Pro | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Orense SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Cuenca recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SCLiga Pro | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LDU de QuitoLiga Pro | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LibertadLiga Pro | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Guayaquil City FCLiga Pro | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Mushuc Runa SCLiga Pro | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Orense SCLiga Pro | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Manta FCLiga Pro | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Independiente del ValleLiga Pro | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EmelecLiga Pro | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Deportivo Cuenca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Pro — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Deportivo Cuenca are ranked 12 in Liga Pro: Regular season, with 36 points from 30 games.
Orense SC are ranked 13 in Liga Pro: Regular season, with 33 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 21 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 | Macara | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 44 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | Emelec | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 39 |
Deportivo Cuenca are ranked 12 in Liga Pro: Relegation Group, with 37 points from 31 games.
Orense SC are ranked 13 in Liga Pro: Relegation Group, with 33 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 33 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 29 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.