3. Division - Girone 6 · Regular Season - 23
Ørn HortenvsLillehammer
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Division - Girone 6
- Venue
- Lystlunden Stadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ørn Horten vs Lillehammer: match review and analysis
Ørn Horten vs Lillehammer in 3. Division - Girone 6 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ørn Horten recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 16. Lillehammer recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 33 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ørn Horten | Lillehammer |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 33 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ørn Horten: (2.06 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lillehammer: (3.47 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ørn Horten recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brumunddal3. Division - Girone 6 | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Fram3. Division - Girone 6 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Oppsal3. Division - Girone 6 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sandefjord II3. Division - Girone 6 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sarpsborg 08 II3. Division - Girone 6 | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Bjørkelangen3. Division - Girone 6 | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| FlintNM Cupen | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Gjøvik-Lyn3. Division - Girone 6 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Elverum3. Division - Girone 6 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Raelingen3. Division - Girone 6 | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ørn Horten’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lillehammer recent form
3.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oppsal3. Division - Girone 6 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Råde3. Division - Girone 6 | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Bjørkelangen3. Division - Girone 6 | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| Sarpsborg 08 II3. Division - Girone 6 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Raelingen3. Division - Girone 6 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Elverum3. Division - Girone 6 | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| StrommenNM Cupen | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Lyn II3. Division - Girone 6 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Gjøvik-Lyn3. Division - Girone 6 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Drøbak / Frogn3. Division - Girone 6 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Lillehammer’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Division - Girone 6 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lillehammer are ranked 1 in Group F, with 53 points from 22 games.
Ørn Horten are ranked 6 in Group F, with 35 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillehammer | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 83 | 32 | 51 | 53 |
| 2 | Elverum | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | Råde | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 40 | 30 | 40 |
| 4 | Gjøvik-Lyn | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Drøbak / Frogn | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 35 |
| 6 | Ørn Horten | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 35 |
| 7 | Sandefjord II | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 33 |
| 8 | Oppsal | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Lyn II | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Raelingen | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 31 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 28 |
| 12 | Fram | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 23 |
| 13 | Brumunddal | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 88 | -63 | 12 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 22 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 16 | 87 | -71 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.