1. Division · Regular Season - 27
Orsha0–0Niva
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Division
- Venue
- Central City Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Orsha vs Niva: match review and analysis
Orsha vs Niva in 1. Division on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Orsha recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 22. Niva recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 30 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Orsha | Niva |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 30 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Orsha: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Niva: (2.90 weighted goals scored + 2.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Orsha recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk1. Division | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| FC Slutsk1. Division | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Dinamo Minsk II1. Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ostrovets FC1. Division | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Slonim1. Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo Minsk II1. Division | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| BATE II1. Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Uni Minsk1. Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Molodechno-DYuSSh 41. Division | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Gomel II1. Division | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Orsha’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Niva recent form
3.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volna1. Division | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Smorgon1. Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bumprom1. Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Minsk II1. Division | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Osipovichy1. Division | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Lida1. Division | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Shakhter Soligorsk1. Division | Away | 6–2 | Won | |
| FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk1. Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC Slutsk1. Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo Minsk II1. Division | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Niva’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Niva are ranked 2 in 1. Division, with 55 points from 27 games.
Orsha are ranked 14 in 1. Division, with 27 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Slutsk | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 56 | 28 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Niva | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 55 |
| 3 | Lida | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 54 |
| 4 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 53 |
| 5 | Slonim | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Bumprom | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Shakhter Soligorsk | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 40 |
| 9 | Dinamo Minsk II | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 35 |
| 10 | Ostrovets FC | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 | Volna | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 34 |
| 12 | Smorgon | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Minsk II | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 | Orsha | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 27 |
| 15 | Uni Minsk | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | BATE II | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 22 |
| 17 | Gomel II | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 21 |
| 18 | Osipovichy | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 29 | 67 | -38 | 19 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.