Primera B · Clausura - 12
Orsomarso0–1Quindio
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B
- Venue
- Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 22′J. LloredaNormal GoalQuindio
Cards
- 1′A. F. Carabali R.Yellow CardQuindio
- 11′J. BarreiroYellow CardOrsomarso
- 35′S. AgamezYellow CardOrsomarso
- 41′F. ValenciaYellow CardQuindio
- 58′B. CampazYellow CardOrsomarso
- 59′J. SandovalYellow CardQuindio
Events updated
Lineups
Orsomarso
Coach: Stiven Sanchez Pena
Starting XI
- 1I. BlancoG
- 26S. GonzalezD
- 27J. ContrerasM
- 24B. CampazM
- 7B. CaicedoF
- 16R. A. Benitez HernandezM
- 5D. BarriosD
- 13J. BarreiroD
- 9S. ArrecheaF
- 32M. Ruiz
- 6S. AgamezF
Substitutes
Quindio
Coach: Eduardo Lara
Starting XI
- 8F. ValenciaM
- 25A. F. Carabali R.F
- 24J. IbarguenD
- 7J. LloredaF
- 20J. OcampoD
- 6S. OrozcoM
- 5S. RoaD
- 19J. SandovalD
- 16Y. TorresM
- 28J. S. OrtizG
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Orsomarso vs Quindio: match review and analysis
Orsomarso vs Quindio in Primera B on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Orsomarso recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Quindio recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 9 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Orsomarso | Quindio |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Orsomarso: (0.67 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Quindio: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Orsomarso recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EnvigadoPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ind. YumboPrimera B | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Real SantanderPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Real CartagenaPrimera B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real CundinamarcaPrimera B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PatriotasPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Union MagdalenaPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Orsomarso’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Quindio recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogota FCPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real CundinamarcaPrimera B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PatriotasPrimera B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ind. YumboPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Real SantanderPrimera B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LlanerosCopa Colombia | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Union MagdalenaPrimera B | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| EnvigadoPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Internacional PalmiraPrimera B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Leones FCPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Quindio’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Quindio are ranked 2 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 57 points from 32 games.
Orsomarso are ranked 13 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 27 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 59 |
| 2 | Quindio | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Envigado | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Union Magdalena | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 38 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 35 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Popayan | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Leones FC | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | -25 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 19 |
Quindio are ranked 3 in Primera B: Apertura, with 31 points from 15 games.
Orsomarso are ranked 10 in Primera B: Apertura, with 17 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
Quindio are ranked 2 in Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular, with 10 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Internacional Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
Quindio are ranked 6 in Primera B: Clausura, with 16 points from 11 games.
Orsomarso are ranked 14 in Primera B: Clausura, with 10 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Ind. Yumbo | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Popayan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Real Cartagena | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Depor FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 | Internacional Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Bogota FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.