Superettan · Regular Season - 26
Ostersunds FKvsVarbergs BoIS FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Superettan
- Venue
- Jämtkraft Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC: match review and analysis
Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC in Superettan on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Ostersunds FK recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Varbergs BoIS FC recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ostersunds FK | Varbergs BoIS FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ostersunds FK: (0.71 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Varbergs BoIS FC: (1.77 weighted goals scored + 0.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ostersunds FK recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RosenborgFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Falkenbergs FFSuperettan | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HelsingborgSuperettan | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| IK brageSuperettan | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Orebro SKSuperettan | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Landskrona BoISSuperettan | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ljungskile SKSuperettan | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ArlandaSvenska Cupen | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| IFK VarnamoSuperettan | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GIF SundsvallSuperettan | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ostersunds FK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Varbergs BoIS FC recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK brageSuperettan | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Norrby IFSuperettan | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| IFK NorrkopingSuperettan | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| IFK VarnamoSuperettan | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OddevoldSuperettan | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Orebro SKSuperettan | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BöljanSvenska Cupen | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| United NordicSuperettan | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SandvikenSuperettan | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Falkenbergs FFSuperettan | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Varbergs BoIS FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Superettan — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Varbergs BoIS FC are ranked 3 in Superettan, with 44 points from 25 games.
Ostersunds FK are ranked 4 in Superettan, with 43 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 45 |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 44 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Landskrona BoIS | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Oddevold | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 36 |
| 7 | Osters IF | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | United Nordic | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Sandviken | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 34 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | IFK Varnamo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 | Ljungskile SK | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Norrby IF | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Orebro SK | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 24 |
| 15 | IK brage | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 23 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 19 | 53 | -34 | 19 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.