Liga III - Serie 5 · Group 5 - 8
Oxigen BucurestivsCetatea
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 7 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Oxigen Bucuresti vs Cetatea: match review and analysis
Oxigen Bucuresti vs Cetatea in Liga III - Serie 5 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Oxigen Bucuresti recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 7 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Cetatea recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 26 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Oxigen Bucuresti | Cetatea |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Oxigen Bucuresti: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cetatea: (2.39 weighted goals scored + 1.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 7 GAMES
Oxigen Bucuresti recent form
1.29 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 6 of 7 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Bucureşti IILiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Voluntari IILiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Axi Adunații-CopăceniLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FCSB IILiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dunărea 2020 GiurgiuLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Omega SportLiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Progresul SpartacLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 1–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Oxigen Bucuresti’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 7 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cetatea recent form
2.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPS HD ClinceniLiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Progresul MogosoaiaLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Dinamo Bucureşti IILiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Voluntari IILiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Axi Adunații-CopăceniLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FCSB IILiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 9–0 | Won | |
| Dunărea 2020 GiurgiuLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dunărea 2020 GiurgiuCupa României | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vulturii FărcăşeştiLiga III - Play-offs | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Jiul PetroşaniLiga III - Play-offs | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Cetatea’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cetatea are ranked 6 in Group 5, with 9 points from 7 games.
Oxigen Bucuresti are ranked 9 in Group 5, with 7 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | LPS HD Clinceni | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Alexandria | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Cetatea | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 7 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Dinamo Bucureşti II | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Progresul Spartac | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Voluntari II | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 12 | FCSB II | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.