Liga MX Femenil · Regular Season - 10
Pachuca W1–2Toluca W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga MX Femenil
- Venue
- Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Pachuca W vs Toluca W: match review and analysis
Pachuca W vs Toluca W in Liga MX Femenil on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Pachuca W recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Toluca W recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 26 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Pachuca W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Pachuca W: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 2.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Toluca W: (2.72 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Pachuca W recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna WLiga MX Femenil | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Atlético San Luis WLiga MX Femenil | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| León WLiga MX Femenil | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tijuana WLiga MX Femenil | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Tigres UANL WLiga MX Femenil | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Guadalajara WLiga MX Femenil | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Pumas UNAM WLiga MX Femenil | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Atlas WLiga MX Femenil | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Juárez WLiga MX Femenil | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC WCONCACAF W Champions Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Pachuca W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Toluca W recent form
2.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa WLiga MX Femenil | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Tigres UANL WLiga MX Femenil | Home | 2–7 | Lost | |
| Tijuana WLiga MX Femenil | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Monterrey WLiga MX Femenil | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| León WLiga MX Femenil | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atlante WLiga MX Femenil | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Atlas WLiga MX Femenil | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Juárez WLiga MX Femenil | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Atlético San Luis WLiga MX Femenil | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| América WLiga MX Femenil | Away | 3–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Toluca W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga MX Femenil — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Toluca W are ranked 4 in Regular Season, with 22 points from 10 games.
Pachuca W are ranked 13 in Regular Season, with 10 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 27 |
| 2 | América W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 25 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 10 | 22 | 25 |
| 4 | Toluca W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Guadalajara W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Juárez W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Atlético San Luis W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Pumas UNAM W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | León W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Pachuca W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Tijuana W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Atlante W | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Querétaro W | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 6 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 3 |
| 18 | Necaxa W | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 38 | -35 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.