K League 2 · Regular Season - 28
Paju Citizen1–1Busan I Park
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- K League 2
- Venue
- Paju Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Paju Citizen vs Busan I Park: match review and analysis
Paju Citizen vs Busan I Park in K League 2 on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Paju Citizen recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Busan I Park recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 7 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Paju Citizen | Busan I Park |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Paju Citizen: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Busan I Park: (0.64 weighted goals scored + 0.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Paju Citizen recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimhae CityK League 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Daegu FCK League 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gyeongnam FCK League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Seoul E-Land FCK League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Seongnam FCK League 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Suwon City FCK League 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Jeonnam DragonsK League 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bucheon FC 1995FA Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ansan GreenersK League 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Suwon BluewingsK League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Paju Citizen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Busan I Park recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimpo CitizenK League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gimhae CityK League 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ansan GreenersK League 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Suwon City FCK League 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Daegu FCK League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bucheon FC 1995FA Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HwaseongK League 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Yongin CityK League 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Seoul E-Land FCK League 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC SeoulFA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Busan I Park’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
K League 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Busan I Park are ranked 6 in K League 2, with 41 points from 26 games.
Paju Citizen are ranked 12 in K League 2, with 29 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 53 |
| 2 | Suwon City FC | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 51 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 51 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 | Hwaseong | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Busan I Park | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 41 |
| 7 | Gimpo Citizen | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 35 |
| 8 | Asan Mugunghwa | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 34 |
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 34 |
| 10 | Cheongju | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Yongin City | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Cheonan City | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 23 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 22 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 21 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 49 | -30 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.