AFC Champions League Elite · League Phase - 2
FULL-TIME
Pakhtakor1–1Al-Qadisiyah FC
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- AFC Champions League Elite
- Venue
- Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: match review and analysis
Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC in AFC Champions League Elite on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Pakhtakor recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 7. Al-Qadisiyah FC recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 28 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Pakhtakor | Al-Qadisiyah FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 28 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Pakhtakor: (1.98 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al-Qadisiyah FC: (3.02 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Pakhtakor recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BunyodkorSuper League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Mash'alSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al-Ahli JeddahAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OlmaliqSuper League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AndijanSuper League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| NeftchiCup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dinamo SamarqandSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SurkhonSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NasafSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al HusseinAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Pakhtakor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al-Qadisiyah FC recent form
2.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al KholoodPro League | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Al-Wasl FCAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al-EttifaqPro League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Al-Ahli JeddahPro League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Al DiriyahPro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al-Faisaly FCPro League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| NEOMPro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al-Ittihad FCPro League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al TaeeKing's Cup | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Al ShababPro League | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Al-Qadisiyah FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
AFC Champions League Elite — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al-Qadisiyah FC are ranked 2 in West Region, with 4 points from 2 games.
Pakhtakor are ranked 8 in West Region, with 2 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Al Ain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Esteghlal FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Al-Ittihad FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Al-Gharafa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Sadd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Al-Nassr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Daejeon Citizen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Buriram United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Port FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Pohang Steelers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Công An Nhân Dân | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.