Super League · Regular Season - 23
PakhtakorvsBunyodkor
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- Pakhtakor Central Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor: match review and analysis
Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor in Super League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Pakhtakor recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 8. Bunyodkor recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses, with 8 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Pakhtakor | Bunyodkor |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 9 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Pakhtakor: (1.76 weighted goals scored + 2.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bunyodkor: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 0.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Pakhtakor recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mash'alSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al-Ahli JeddahAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OlmaliqSuper League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AndijanSuper League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| NeftchiCup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dinamo SamarqandSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SurkhonSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NasafSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al HusseinAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| BuxoroSuper League | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Pakhtakor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bunyodkor recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BuxoroSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| LokomotivCup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NasafSuper League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SurkhonSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LokomotivSuper League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Kokand-1912Super League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NavbahorSuper League | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| OlmaliqSuper League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| PakhtakorSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BuxoroSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bunyodkor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pakhtakor are ranked 2 in Super League, with 49 points from 22 games.
Bunyodkor are ranked 13 in Super League, with 22 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 19 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Olmaliq | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 34 |
| 8 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarqand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 22 |
| 15 | Kokand-1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Mash'al | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 44 | -33 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.