Ligue A · Regular Season - 7
Panthere NoirvsMusongati
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 4 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligue A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Panthere Noir vs Musongati: match review and analysis
Panthere Noir vs Musongati in Ligue A on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Panthere Noir recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 4 games used here, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Musongati recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Panthere Noir | Musongati |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 2 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Panthere Noir: (0.51 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Musongati: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 4 GAMES
Panthere Noir recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. 2 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager NgoziLigue A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MuzingaLigue A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BumamuruLigue A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RukinzoLigue A | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Panthere Noir’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Musongati recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Messager NgoziLigue A | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Never Give Up AcademyLigue A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MuzingaLigue A | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BumamuruLigue A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RukinzoLigue A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Royal VisionLigue A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BumamuruLigue A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ngozi CityLigue A | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Inter StarLigue A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Vital'OLigue A | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Musongati’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligue A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Musongati are ranked 10 in Ligue A, with 7 points from 6 games.
Panthere Noir are ranked 16 in Ligue A, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 16 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Aigle Noir | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Le Messager Ngozi | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Olympic Star | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Ngozi City | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Rukinzo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 8 |
| 8 | Vital'O | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Bumamuru | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Musongati | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Flambeau du Centre | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Kayanza United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Never Give Up Academy | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Inter Star | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Young Star | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 2 |
| 16 | Panthere Noir | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.