Super League 1 · Regular Season - 6
FULL-TIME
PAOK1–3Kalamata
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League 1
- Venue
- Toumba Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–3
- 90-minute score
- 1–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
PAOK vs Kalamata: match review and analysis
PAOK vs Kalamata in Super League 1 on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–3. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
PAOK recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Kalamata recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 16 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | PAOK | Kalamata |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
PAOK: (1.77 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kalamata: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
PAOK recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PanetolikosSuper League 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| AtromitosCup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PanathinaikosSuper League 1 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| OFICup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AtromitosSuper League 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| BrannUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| LevadiakosSuper League 1 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| BrannUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AnderlechtUEFA Europa League | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from PAOK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kalamata recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PanathinaikosSuper League 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LarisaCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Volos NFCSuper League 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| AtromitosSuper League 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Volos NFCCup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PanetolikosSuper League 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| PanetolikosCup | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Volos NFCFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Iraklis 1908Super League 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Kalamata’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
PAOK are ranked 4 in Super League, with 12 points from 6 games.
Kalamata are ranked 10 in Super League, with 7 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | PAOK | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 |
| 6 | OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.