Carioca B2 · Group Stage - 7
Paraty0–4Rio de Janeiro
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Carioca B2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–4
- 90-minute score
- 0–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 4′Unknown playerNormal GoalRio de Janeiro
- 27′Unknown playerNormal GoalRio de Janeiro
- 43′Unknown playerNormal GoalRio de Janeiro
- 71′Unknown playerNormal GoalRio de Janeiro
Cards
No cards in the latest saved events.
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Paraty vs Rio de Janeiro: match review and analysis
Paraty vs Rio de Janeiro in Carioca B2 on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Paraty recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 23. Rio de Janeiro recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 10 scored and 25 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Paraty | Rio de Janeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 23 | 25 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Paraty: (0.78 weighted goals scored + 2.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rio de Janeiro: (0.97 weighted goals scored + 2.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Paraty recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BúziosCarioca B2 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| PaduanoCarioca B2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| 7 de AbrilCarioca B2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FriburguenseCarioca B2 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Campos AACarioca B2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SE Belford RoxoCarioca B2 | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| GoytacazCarioca B2 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Santa Cruz RJCarioca B2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Barra MansaCarioca B2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| 7 de AbrilCarioca B2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Paraty’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rio de Janeiro recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barra MansaCarioca B2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Serra MacaenseCarioca B2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Santa Cruz RJCarioca B2 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Cardoso MoreiraCarioca B2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SE Belford RoxoCarioca B2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BúziosCarioca B2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| 7 de AbrilCarioca B2 | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Serra MacaenseCarioca B2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SE Belford RoxoCarioca B2 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| MacaéCarioca B2 | Home | 1–6 | Lost |
Scores shown from Rio de Janeiro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Carioca B2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Rio de Janeiro are ranked 6 in Carioca B2, with 10 points from 7 games.
Paraty are ranked 12 in Carioca B2, with 0 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Serra Macaense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Cardoso Moreira | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz RJ | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Paduano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Rio de Janeiro | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 de Abril | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | SE Belford Roxo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Campos AA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Búzios | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 3 |
| 12 | Paraty | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 21 | -17 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.