Feminine Division 1 · Regular Season - 4
Paris FC W4–1Lens W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Feminine Division 1
- Venue
- Stade Jean Bouin
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Paris FC W vs Lens W: match review and analysis
Paris FC W vs Lens W in Feminine Division 1 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Paris FC W recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 22. Lens W recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 9 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Paris FC W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Paris FC W: (2.02 weighted goals scored + 2.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lens W: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 2.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Paris FC W recent form
2.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal WUEFA Champions League Women | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Barcelona WUEFA Champions League Women | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Strasbourg WFeminine Division 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Lyon WFeminine Division 1 | Away | 1–7 | Lost | |
| Nantes WFeminine Division 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Lyon WFeminine Division 1 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Paris Saint Germain WFeminine Division 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Lens WFeminine Division 1 | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| Dijon WFeminine Division 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Montpellier WFeminine Division 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Paris FC W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lens W recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse WFeminine Division 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Marseille WFeminine Division 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Paris Saint Germain WFeminine Division 1 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Paris FC WFeminine Division 1 | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Marseille WFeminine Division 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Le Havre WFeminine Division 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Saint-Étienne WFeminine Division 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dijon WFeminine Division 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Montpellier WFeminine Division 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Paris Saint Germain WFeminine Division 1 | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lens W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Feminine Division 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Paris FC W are ranked 3 in Feminine Division 1 Women, with 9 points from 4 games.
Lens W are ranked 11 in Feminine Division 1 Women, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 24 | 12 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Paris FC W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Marseille W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Le Havre W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 6 | Montpellier W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Strasbourg W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 8 | FC Fleury 91 W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 9 | Saint-Malo W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Nantes W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 11 | Lens W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 12 | Toulouse W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.