Azadegan League · Regular Season - 5
FULL-TIME
Pars Jonoubi JAM1–0Naft Gachsaran
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Azadegan League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Naft Gachsaran: match review and analysis
Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Naft Gachsaran in Azadegan League on 12 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Pars Jonoubi JAM recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 4. Naft Gachsaran recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses, with 5 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Pars Jonoubi JAM | Naft Gachsaran |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 0 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 0 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Pars Jonoubi JAM: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Naft Gachsaran: (0.52 weighted goals scored + 0.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Pars Jonoubi JAM recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HavadarAzadegan League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Naft Masjed SoleymanAzadegan League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Shahin Bandar AmeriAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shenavarsazi QeshmAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Be'sat KermanshahAzadegan League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Damash GilanianAzadegan League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Niroye ZaminiAzadegan League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Navad UrmiaAzadegan League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mes KermanAzadegan League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SaipaAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Pars Jonoubi JAM’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Naft Gachsaran recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novin AhvazAzadegan League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Naft Bandar AbbasAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Be'sat KermanshahAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mes Shahr-e BabakAzadegan League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| HavadarAzadegan League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Mes SoongounAzadegan League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nassaji MazandaranAzadegan League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Shenavarsazi QeshmAzadegan League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Niroye ZaminiAzadegan League | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Naft Gachsaran’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Azadegan League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pars Jonoubi JAM are ranked 1 in Regular Season, with 11 points from 5 games.
Naft Gachsaran are ranked 15 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Mes Rafsanjan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Saipa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Ario Eslamshahr | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Fard Alborz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Naft Masjed Soleyman | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Be'sat Kermanshah | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Mes Soongoun | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Novin Ahvaz | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Mes Kerman | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Havadar | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.