Primera B · Clausura - 12
Patriotas0–1Ind. Yumbo
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B
- Venue
- Estadio La Independencia
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 54′L. FariasNormal GoalInd. Yumbo
Cards
- 40′J. MendezYellow CardInd. Yumbo
- 45+2′K. AlvarezYellow CardPatriotas
- 61′F. FigueroaYellow CardPatriotas
- 65′J. RubianoYellow CardInd. Yumbo
- 81′Unknown playerYellow CardPatriotas
- 90+3′Unknown playerYellow CardInd. Yumbo
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Patriotas vs Ind. Yumbo: match review and analysis
Patriotas vs Ind. Yumbo in Primera B on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Patriotas recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Ind. Yumbo recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 14 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Patriotas | Ind. Yumbo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Patriotas: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 0.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ind. Yumbo: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Patriotas recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PopayanPrimera B | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Union MagdalenaPrimera B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real CundinamarcaPrimera B | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| OrsomarsoPrimera B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real SantanderPrimera B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Internacional PalmiraPrimera B | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Patriotas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ind. Yumbo recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OrsomarsoPrimera B | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Internacional PalmiraPrimera B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bogota FCPrimera B | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Leones FCPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real SantanderPrimera B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real CartagenaPrimera B | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| EnvigadoPrimera B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ind. Yumbo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ind. Yumbo are ranked 7 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 42 points from 26 games.
Patriotas are ranked 11 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 34 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 59 |
| 2 | Quindio | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Envigado | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Union Magdalena | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 38 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 35 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Popayan | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Leones FC | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | -25 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 19 |
Ind. Yumbo are ranked 9 in Primera B: Apertura, with 19 points from 15 games.
Patriotas are ranked 11 in Primera B: Apertura, with 17 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Internacional Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
Ind. Yumbo are ranked 2 in Primera B: Clausura, with 23 points from 11 games.
Patriotas are ranked 5 in Primera B: Clausura, with 17 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Ind. Yumbo | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Popayan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Real Cartagena | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Depor FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 | Internacional Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Bogota FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.