Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 33
PatronatovsClub Atlético Güemes
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera Nacional
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes: match review and analysis
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes in Primera Nacional on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Patronato recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Club Atlético Güemes recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses, with 3 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Patronato | Club Atlético Güemes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 3 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Patronato: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Club Atlético Güemes: (0.26 weighted goals scored + 0.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Patronato recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| San Martin S.J.Primera Nacional | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TemperleyPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo MaipuPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AlmagroPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AtlantaPrimera Nacional | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Colon Santa FePrimera Nacional | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ColegialesPrimera Nacional | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Patronato’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Club Atlético Güemes recent form
0.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ColegialesPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QuilmesPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MidlandPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AtlantaPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Gimnasia Y TiroPrimera Nacional | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| San Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atletico DE RafaelaPrimera Nacional | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Chacarita JuniorsPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Atletico MitrePrimera Nacional | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AgropecuarioPrimera Nacional | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Club Atlético Güemes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera Nacional — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores De Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 29 |
Patronato are ranked 16 in Group 2, with 34 points from 32 games.
Club Atlético Güemes are ranked 18 in Group 2, with 23 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin Tucuman | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Almagro | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 54 | -31 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.