Liga III - Serie 3 · Group 3 - 7
Păuleşti2–3Progresul Draganesti
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 6 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–3
- 90-minute score
- 2–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Păuleşti vs Progresul Draganesti: match review and analysis
Păuleşti vs Progresul Draganesti in Liga III - Serie 3 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Păuleşti recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 21. Progresul Draganesti recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 8 scored and 10 conceded across 6 games.
| Statistic | Păuleşti | Progresul Draganesti |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 6 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Păuleşti: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Progresul Draganesti: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 2.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Păuleşti recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viitorul CorbeancaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TunariLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Flacăra MoreniLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Urban TituLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BercaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PlopeniLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TunariCupa României | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BlejoiCupa României | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| BrailaLiga III - Serie 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Petrolul 52 IILiga III - Serie 2 | Home | 4–3 | Won |
Scores shown from Păuleşti’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 6 GAMES
Progresul Draganesti recent form
1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. 5 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urban TituLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BercaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PlopeniLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Râmnicu SăratLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PucioasaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Voința CrevediaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Progresul Draganesti’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Progresul Draganesti are ranked 5 in Group 3, with 11 points from 7 games.
Păuleşti are ranked 12 in Group 3, with 2 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 19 | 19 |
| 2 | Tunari | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Berca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Blejoi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Voința Crevedia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Pucioasa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Urban Titu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Râmnicu Sărat | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.