Liga Revelação U23 · Regular Season - 8
Penafiel U23vsBenfica U23
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 13 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 7 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Revelação U23
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23: match review and analysis
Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23 in Liga Revelação U23 on 13 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Penafiel U23 recorded 0 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 7 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Benfica U23 recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Penafiel U23 | Benfica U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Penafiel U23: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Benfica U23: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 1.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 7 GAMES
Penafiel U23 recent form
1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. 5 of 7 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave U23Liga Revelação U23 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sporting CP U23Liga Revelação U23 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Santa Clara U23Liga Revelação U23 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sporting Braga U23Liga Revelação U23 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Leixões U23Liga Revelação U23 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Marítimo U23Liga Revelação U23 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Portimonense U23Liga Revelação U23 | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Penafiel U23’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 7 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Benfica U23 recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marítimo U23Liga Revelação U23 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Torreense U23Liga Revelação U23 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| União Leiria U23Liga Revelação U23 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Vizela U23Liga Revelação U23 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Academico Viseu U23Liga Revelação U23 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sporting CP U23Liga Revelação U23 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Rio Ave U23Liga Revelação U23 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Santa Clara U23Taça Revelação U23 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Santa Clara U23Taça Revelação U23 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sporting Braga U23Taça Revelação U23 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Benfica U23’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Revelação U23 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Benfica U23 are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 10 points from 7 games.
Penafiel U23 are ranked 18 in Regular Season, with 5 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estoril U23 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sporting CP U23 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Academico Viseu U23 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Rio Ave U23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Felgueiras U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Farense U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Vizela U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Benfica U23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Sporting Braga U23 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Santa Clara U23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Moreirense U23 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | União Leiria U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Famalicão U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Leixões U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Torreense U23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Marítimo U23 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Penafiel U23 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Estrela U23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 5 |
| 20 | Portimonense U23 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.