FAW Championship · North - 10
Penrhyncoch0–1Gresford Athletic
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FAW Championship
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Athletic: match review and analysis
Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Athletic in FAW Championship on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Penrhyncoch recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 29. Gresford Athletic recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses, with 6 scored and 29 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Penrhyncoch | Gresford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 29 | 29 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Penrhyncoch: (0.67 weighted goals scored + 2.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gresford Athletic: (0.69 weighted goals scored + 2.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Penrhyncoch recent form
0.70 goals scored and 2.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthin TownFAW Championship | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Bala TownFAW Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bangor City 1876 FCFAW Championship | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Buckley TownFAW Championship | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| GuilsfieldFAW Championship | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Denbigh TownFAW Championship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Brickfield RangersFAW Championship | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Newtown AFCFAW Championship | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| PorthmadogFAW Championship | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| RhylFAW Championship | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Penrhyncoch’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gresford Athletic recent form
0.60 goals scored and 2.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RhylFAW Championship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| GuilsfieldFAW Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mold AlexandraFAW Championship | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| LlanuwchllynFAW Championship | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Bala TownFAW Championship | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Brickfield RangersFAW Championship | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| CaerswsFAW Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Newtown AFCFAW Championship | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| GuilsfieldFAW Championship | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| PenrhyncochFAW Championship | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Gresford Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FAW Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen Stars | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe Town | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly Athletic | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 2 |
Gresford Athletic are ranked 15 in North, with 7 points from 9 games.
Penrhyncoch are ranked 16 in North, with 1 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Bala Town | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Caersws | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 8 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 30 | -26 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.