Liga 1 · Regular Season - 4
Persik KedirivsPersepam Madura Utd
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga 1
- Venue
- Brawijaya Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd: match review and analysis
Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd in Liga 1 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Persik Kediri recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Persepam Madura Utd recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Persik Kediri | Persepam Madura Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Persik Kediri: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Persepam Madura Utd: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Persik Kediri recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arema FCLiga 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GarudayaksaLiga 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Dewa UnitedLiga 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| PersijaLiga 1 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Semen PadangLiga 1 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Arema FCLiga 1 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Pusamania BorneoLiga 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PSM MakassarLiga 1 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PersitaLiga 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Persik Kediri’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Persepam Madura Utd recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSIM YogyakartaLiga 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PSS SlemanLiga 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| PersijapLiga 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PSM MakassarLiga 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PSIM YogyakartaLiga 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bhayangkara FCLiga 1 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Bali UnitedLiga 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Semen PadangLiga 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dewa UnitedLiga 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Persepam Madura Utd’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Persepam Madura Utd are ranked 2 in Liga 1, with 9 points from 3 games.
Persik Kediri are ranked 11 in Liga 1, with 4 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dewa United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Persepam Madura Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Persija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Bali United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Pusamania Borneo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Arema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Persita | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Persebaya Surabaya | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Persik Kediri | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 2 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | -2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.