USL Championship · Group Stage
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsvsHartford Athletic
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL Championship
- Venue
- Highmark Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic: match review and analysis
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic in USL Championship on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Hartford Athletic recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 18 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | Hartford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hartford Athletic: (1.61 weighted goals scored + 0.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Pittsburgh Riverhounds recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 3 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange County SCUSL Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Detroit CityUSL Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Loudoun UnitedUSL Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Miami FCUSL Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| El Paso LocomotiveUSL Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BrooklynUSL Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Charleston BatteryUSL Championship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sacramento RepublicUSL Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Oakland RootsUSL Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Pittsburgh Riverhounds’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hartford Athletic recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville CityUSL League One Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Louisville CityUSL Championship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Las Vegas LightsUSL Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sporting JAXUSL Championship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Colorado SpringsUSL League One Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Detroit CityUSL Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Charleston BatteryUSL Championship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Birmingham LegionUSL Championship | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Miami FCUSL Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Hartford Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Hartford Athletic are ranked 4 in USL Championship, with 39 points from 26 games.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds are ranked 6 in USL Championship, with 38 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 73 | -41 | 14 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 21 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.