Copa Uruguay · Round of 16
Plaza Colonia0–1Juventud
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Uruguay
- Venue
- Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Plaza Colonia vs Juventud: match review and analysis
Plaza Colonia vs Juventud in Copa Uruguay on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Plaza Colonia recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Juventud recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 13 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Plaza Colonia | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Plaza Colonia: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 0.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Juventud: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Plaza Colonia recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CerritoSegunda División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Defensor SportingCopa Uruguay | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AtenasSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PaysanduSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RentistasCopa Uruguay | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sportivo HuracanSegunda División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Uruguay MontevideoSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| OrientalSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cerro LargoCopa Uruguay | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ColónSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Plaza Colonia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Juventud recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston RiverPrimera División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CerroPrimera División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Albion FCPrimera División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Racing MontevideoCopa Uruguay | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| DanubioPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Club NacionalPrimera División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Central EspanolCopa Uruguay | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo MaldonadoPrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| OrientalCopa Uruguay | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Central EspanolPrimera División | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Juventud’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Uruguay — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.