FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying
Plymouth Parkway2–1Horsham
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FA Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham: match review and analysis
Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham in FA Cup on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Plymouth Parkway recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Horsham recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 12 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Plymouth Parkway | Horsham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Plymouth Parkway: (1.75 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Horsham: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Plymouth Parkway recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bath CityFA Trophy | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Frome TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Frome TownFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| SholingNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Gosport BoroughFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Havant & WvilleNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chippenham TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Plymouth Parkway’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Horsham recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford CityNational League - South | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Walton & HershamFA Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Chesham UnitedNational League - South | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Folkestone InvictaNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dagenham & RedbridgeNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Farnham TownNational League - South | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BraintreeNational League - South | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hampton & RichmondNational League - South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| SalisburyNational League - South | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TorquayNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Horsham’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FA Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.