I Liga · Regular Season - 10
PodbeskidzievsPogoń Siedlce
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- I Liga
- Venue
- Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce: match review and analysis
Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce in I Liga on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Podbeskidzie recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Pogoń Siedlce recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Podbeskidzie | Pogoń Siedlce |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Podbeskidzie: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pogoń Siedlce: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 1.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Podbeskidzie recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TřinecFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Unia SkierniewiceI Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ruch ChorzówI Liga | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Polonia BytomI Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Stal RzeszówCup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Puszcza NiepołomiceI Liga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Odra OpoleI Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chrobry GłogówI Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lechia GdanskI Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hutnik KrakówCup | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Podbeskidzie’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pogoń Siedlce recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arka GdyniaI Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chrobry GłogówI Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kluczevia StargardCup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Stal MielecI Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Lechia GdanskI Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Polonia WarszawaI Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Polonia BytomI Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| NiecieczaI Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ŁKS ŁódźI Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Radomiak RadomFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Pogoń Siedlce’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
I Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pogoń Siedlce are ranked 10 in I Liga, with 12 points from 8 games.
Podbeskidzie are ranked 17 in I Liga, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Nieciecza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Warta Poznań | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | ŁKS Łódź | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Miedz Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Stal Rzeszów | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Chrobry Głogów | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Pogoń Siedlce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzów | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.