I Liga · Regular Season - 7
Pogoń SiedlcevsPuszcza Niepołomice
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- I Liga
- Venue
- Stadion ROSRRiT
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice: match review and analysis
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice in I Liga on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Pogoń Siedlce recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Puszcza Niepołomice recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 13 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Pogoń Siedlce | Puszcza Niepołomice |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Pogoń Siedlce: (1.14 weighted goals scored + 1.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Puszcza Niepołomice: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Pogoń Siedlce recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PodbeskidzieI Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Arka GdyniaI Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chrobry GłogówI Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kluczevia StargardCup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Stal MielecI Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Lechia GdanskI Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Polonia WarszawaI Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Polonia BytomI Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| NiecieczaI Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ŁKS ŁódźI Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Pogoń Siedlce’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Puszcza Niepołomice recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia BytomI Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Wieczysta KrakówFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Warta PoznańI Liga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ŁKS ŁódźI Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Wisła Płock IICup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PodbeskidzieI Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Unia SkierniewiceI Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Arka GdyniaI Liga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Odra OpoleI Liga | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiI Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Puszcza Niepołomice’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
I Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pogoń Siedlce are ranked 10 in I Liga, with 12 points from 9 games.
Puszcza Niepołomice are ranked 18 in I Liga, with 6 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Nieciecza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Lechia Gdansk | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Warta Poznań | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | ŁKS Łódź | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzów | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Stal Rzeszów | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 10 | Pogoń Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Odra Opole | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Chrobry Głogów | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Polonia Bytom | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.