Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10
Pogon SzczecinvsKorona Kielce
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ekstraklasa
- Venue
- Florian-Krygier-Stadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: match review and analysis
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce in Ekstraklasa on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Pogon Szczecin recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Korona Kielce recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 14 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Pogon Szczecin | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Pogon Szczecin: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Korona Kielce: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Pogon Szczecin recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UdineseFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Wieczysta KrakówEkstraklasa | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Wisla PlockEkstraklasa | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Slask WroclawCup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Motor LublinEkstraklasa | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Pogon Szczecin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Korona Kielce recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia WarszawaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Slask WroclawEkstraklasa | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Widzew ŁódźCup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Wisla PlockEkstraklasa | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Motor LublinEkstraklasa | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Korona Kielce’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ekstraklasa — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pogon Szczecin are ranked 6 in Ekstraklasa, with 15 points from 8 games.
Korona Kielce are ranked 7 in Ekstraklasa, with 15 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla Krakow | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie Lubin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Łódź | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Wieczysta Kraków | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Cracovia Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.