Premier League · Regular Season - 6
PolicevsSC Villa
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Kiira Road Police Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Police vs SC Villa: match review and analysis
Police vs SC Villa in Premier League on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Police recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 8. SC Villa recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Police | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Police: (0.75 weighted goals scored + 0.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
SC Villa: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 0.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Police recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entebbe UPPCPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| LugaziPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| UPDFPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Blacks PowerPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mbarara CityPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KitaraPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Entebbe UPPCPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VipersPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CalvaryPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UPDFPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Police’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
SC Villa recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMPSPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KatakaPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MembersPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LDFPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kigezi HomeBoyzPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ExpressPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| LCSPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| URAPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MzamanePremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KitaraPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from SC Villa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
SC Villa are ranked 3 in Regular Season, with 11 points from 5 games.
Police are ranked 10 in Regular Season, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | NEC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Blacks Power | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Vipers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Maroons | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Express | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | URA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | Kataka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.