Non League Premier - Southern South · Regular Season - 10
Poole Town3–1Evesham United
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Southern South
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Poole Town vs Evesham United: match review and analysis
Poole Town vs Evesham United in Non League Premier - Southern South on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Poole Town recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Evesham United recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 15 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Poole Town | Evesham United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Poole Town: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 1.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Evesham United: (1.54 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Poole Town recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Basingstoke TownFA Trophy | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Havant & WvilleNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bishop's CleeveFA Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BerkhamstedNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SholingNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chichester CityNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Poole Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Evesham United recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chippenham TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Stratford TownFA Trophy | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Redditch UnitedFA Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BerkhamstedNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Belper TownFA Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Gloucester CityNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Hanworth VillaNon League Premier - Southern South | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Chichester CityNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Frome TownNon League Premier - Southern South | Home | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Evesham United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Southern South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Poole Town are ranked 1 in Regular Season, with 21 points from 10 games.
Evesham United are ranked 10 in Regular Season, with 13 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke Town | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.