Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 9
PoortugaalvsUNA
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Derde Divisie
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Poortugaal vs UNA: match review and analysis
Poortugaal vs UNA in Derde Divisie on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Poortugaal recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 19. UNA recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Poortugaal | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Poortugaal: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 1.64 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
UNA: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 2.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Poortugaal recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DongenDerde Divisie | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| GOESDerde Divisie | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RijnvogelsDerde Divisie | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GemertDerde Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EVVDerde Divisie | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Achilles VeenKNVB Beker | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| ZwaluwenDerde Divisie | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| TOGBDerde Divisie | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| VvsbDerde Divisie | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TECKNVB Beker | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Poortugaal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
UNA recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blauw GeelDerde Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DongenDerde Divisie | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GOESDerde Divisie | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RijnvogelsDerde Divisie | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| GemertDerde Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| StaphorstKNVB Beker | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EVVDerde Divisie | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| ZwaluwenDerde Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TOGBDerde Divisie | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC EindhovenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from UNA’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Derde Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Poortugaal are ranked 12 in Derde Divisie, with 9 points from 8 games.
UNA are ranked 13 in Derde Divisie, with 8 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior '31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 19 |
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | ACV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | SC Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | ADO '20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Dovo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 5 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 3 |
| 15 | Vvsb | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 1 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | SVZW | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 1 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.