EFL Trophy · Group North - 4
Port Vale2–0Mansfield Town
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- EFL Trophy
- Venue
- Vale Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Port Vale vs Mansfield Town: match review and analysis
Port Vale vs Mansfield Town in EFL Trophy on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Port Vale recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Mansfield Town recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 12 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Port Vale | Mansfield Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Port Vale: (0.54 weighted goals scored + 2.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mansfield Town: (1.12 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Port Vale recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChesterfieldEFL Trophy | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| WalsallLeague Two | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Exeter CityLeague Two | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Salford CityLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Swindon TownLeague Two | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CreweLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TranmereLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OldhamLeague Two | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| WolvesLeague Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BlackpoolFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Port Vale’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mansfield Town recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton AlbionLeague One | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HuddersfieldLeague One | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BradfordLeague One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ReadingLeague One | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| LutonLeague One | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| PeterboroughLeague One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Manchester City U21EFL Trophy | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| DoncasterLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sheffield UtdLeague Cup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| DerbyFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mansfield Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
EFL Trophy — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.