NWSL Women · Group Stage
Portland Thorns W2–4Boston Legacy W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NWSL Women
- Venue
- Providence Park
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–4
- 90-minute score
- 2–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Portland Thorns W vs Boston Legacy W: match review and analysis
Portland Thorns W vs Boston Legacy W in NWSL Women on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Portland Thorns W recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Boston Legacy W recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 15 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Portland Thorns W | Boston Legacy W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Portland Thorns W: (1.65 weighted goals scored + 1.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Boston Legacy W: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 1.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Portland Thorns W recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dash WNWSL Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Orlando Pride WNWSL Women | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Chicago Red Stars WNWSL Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Washington Spirit WNWSL Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC WNWSL Women | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Denver Summit WNWSL Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Orlando Pride WNWSL Women | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Boston Legacy WNWSL Women | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Utah Royals WNWSL Women | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC WNWSL Women | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Portland Thorns W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Boston Legacy W recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Reign FC WNWSL Women | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Houston Dash WNWSL Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Washington Spirit WNWSL Women | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Utah Royals WNWSL Women | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Angel City WNWSL Women | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| North Carolina Courage WNWSL Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Racing Louisville WNWSL Women | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Portland Thorns WNWSL Women | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Denver Summit WNWSL Women | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kansas City WNWSL Women | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Boston Legacy W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NWSL Women — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Portland Thorns W are ranked 7 in Nwsl Women, with 43 points from 27 games.
Boston Legacy W are ranked 13 in Nwsl Women, with 29 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign FC W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Red Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 63 | -48 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.