Persha Liga · Regular Season - 11
Probiy HorodenkavsSK Poltava
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Persha Liga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Probiy Horodenka vs SK Poltava: match review and analysis
Probiy Horodenka vs SK Poltava in Persha Liga on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Probiy Horodenka recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 24. SK Poltava recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Probiy Horodenka | SK Poltava |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 24 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Probiy Horodenka: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
SK Poltava: (1.37 weighted goals scored + 2.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Probiy Horodenka recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KulykivPersha Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Lokomotiv KyivPersha Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kolos Kovalivka IIPersha Liga | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| OleksandriaCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Lokomotiv KyivCup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| PrykarpattiaPersha Liga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ChernihivPersha Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Probiy Horodenka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
SK Poltava recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChernihivPersha Liga | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| KulykivPersha Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Metal KharkivPersha Liga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Lokomotiv KyivPersha Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| InhuletsPersha Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kolos Kovalivka IIPersha Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mayak SarnyCup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| UCSAPersha Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nyva TernopilPersha Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from SK Poltava’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Persha Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
SK Poltava are ranked 3 in Persha Liga, with 18 points from 10 games.
Probiy Horodenka are ranked 16 in Persha Liga, with 5 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Oleksandria | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | SK Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulykiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Yarud Mariupol' | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Metal Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Polissya II | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.