Liga III - Serie 4 · Group 4 - 7
Progresul FunduleavsGloria Băneasa
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Progresul Fundulea vs Gloria Băneasa: match review and analysis
Progresul Fundulea vs Gloria Băneasa in Liga III - Serie 4 on 3 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Progresul Fundulea recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 25 and conceding 16. Gloria Băneasa recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 10 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Progresul Fundulea | Gloria Băneasa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 25 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Progresul Fundulea: (2.56 weighted goals scored + 2.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gloria Băneasa: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 1.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Progresul Fundulea recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recolta Gheorghe DojaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AxiopolisLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Unirea BranişteaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Agricola BorceaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| FC Oţelul IILiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Dunarea CalarasiLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Progresul SpartacCupa României | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AgigeaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AxiopolisLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Recolta Gheorghe DojaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 6–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Progresul Fundulea’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gloria Băneasa recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agricola BorceaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FC Oţelul IILiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dunarea CalarasiLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Înainte ModeluLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AgigeaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Portul ConstantaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Dunarea CalarasiCupa României | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AxiopolisLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Recolta Gheorghe DojaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Voluntari IILiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Gloria Băneasa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Progresul Fundulea are ranked 8 in Group 4, with 9 points from 6 games.
Gloria Băneasa are ranked 10 in Group 4, with 4 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agricola Borcea | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Agigea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Înainte Modelu | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Axiopolis | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Sporting Lieşti | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Dunarea Calarasi | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Progresul Fundulea | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Unirea Braniştea | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Gloria Băneasa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 11 | Portul Constanta | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Oţelul II | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.