Liga III - Serie 4 · Group 4 - 9
Progresul FunduleavsPortul Constanta
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 8 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Progresul Fundulea vs Portul Constanta: match review and analysis
Progresul Fundulea vs Portul Constanta in Liga III - Serie 4 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Progresul Fundulea recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Portul Constanta recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 11 scored and 26 conceded across 8 games.
| Statistic | Progresul Fundulea | Portul Constanta |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 8 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 26 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Progresul Fundulea: (2.21 weighted goals scored + 3.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Portul Constanta: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Progresul Fundulea recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting LieştiLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Gloria BăneasaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Recolta Gheorghe DojaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AxiopolisLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Unirea BranişteaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Agricola BorceaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| FC Oţelul IILiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Dunarea CalarasiLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Progresul SpartacCupa României | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AgigeaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Progresul Fundulea’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 8 GAMES
Portul Constanta recent form
1.38 goals scored and 3.25 conceded per game. 7 of 8 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agricola BorceaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 0–8 | Lost | |
| FC Oţelul IILiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dunarea CalarasiLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Înainte ModeluLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| AgigeaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Unirea BranişteaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sporting LieştiLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Gloria BăneasaLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Portul Constanta’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 8 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Progresul Fundulea are ranked 3 in Group 4, with 15 points from 8 games.
Portul Constanta are ranked 12 in Group 4, with 3 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agricola Borcea | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 21 |
| 2 | Înainte Modelu | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Progresul Fundulea | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Agigea | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Axiopolis | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Lieşti | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Unirea Braniştea | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Dunarea Calarasi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Gloria Băneasa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Oţelul II | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 4 |
| 12 | Portul Constanta | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.