Segunda División · Relegation Group - 7
Provincial Ovalle1–5Deportes Rengo
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- Estadio Diaguita
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–5
- 90-minute score
- 1–5
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Rengo: match review and analysis
Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Rengo in Segunda División on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–5. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Provincial Ovalle recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Deportes Rengo recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Provincial Ovalle | Deportes Rengo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Provincial Ovalle: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 1.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deportes Rengo: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Provincial Ovalle recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lota SchwagerSegunda División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ColinaSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Santiago MorningSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Real San JoaquínSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| General VelásquezSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ColinaSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Santiago CitySegunda División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Real San JoaquínSegunda División | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| TrasandinoSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Concón NationalSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Provincial Ovalle’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportes Rengo recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago MorningSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Real San JoaquínSegunda División | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| General VelásquezSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lota SchwagerSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ColinaSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| General VelásquezSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Santiago MorningSegunda División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ColchaguaSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Linares UnidoSegunda División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Lota SchwagerSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Deportes Rengo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Deportes Rengo are ranked 12 in Regular Season, with 11 points from 12 games.
Provincial Ovalle are ranked 14 in Regular Season, with 6 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 | Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.